MT Elk Unit 302
AI Scout Analysis
# MT 302 Bighorn Sheep — Tactical Analysis ## Draw Difficulty **Residents** face a moderately competitive draw. At 2025 odds: 4% (0 pts) → 12% (1 pt) → 22% (2 pts) → 37% (3 pts) → 52% (4 pts) → 68% (5 pts). You need 4–5 preference points for a reasonable 50%+ draw chance; 3 points offers ~37% odds. The aggregate 24% draw rate reflects ~500 tags across 2,080 applicants. Difficulty has remained stable 2023–2025. **Nonresidents** face a significantly tougher draw at only 14% aggregate (50 tags, 349 applicants). At 0–2 points, draw rates hover 2–19%; you need 4+ points...
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| Year | Weapon | Residency | Applicants | Tags | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | B-Tag 00 | resident | 2,080 | 500 | 24.0% |
| 2025 | B-Tag 00 | nonresident | 349 | 50 | 14.3% |
| 2024 | B-Tag 00 | resident | 2,117 | 500 | 23.6% |
| 2024 | B-Tag 00 | nonresident | 373 | 50 | 13.4% |
| 2023 | B-Tag 00 | resident | 2,378 | 500 | 21.0% |
| 2023 | B-Tag 00 | nonresident | 495 | 50 | 10.1% |
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