MT Pronghorn Unit 300
AI Scout Analysis
# MT 300 – Bighorn Sheep Tactical Analysis ## Draw Difficulty **Residents** have two distinct tag types with vastly different odds: - **Permit 20** (easier): 35% overall draw rate. At 3+ preference points, odds jump to 60–80%, making this the more accessible path. 7 points guarantees a tag. - **B-Tag 30** (harder): 14% overall draw rate. Only 4–5+ points exceed 40% odds; 0–3 points sit at 3–17%. B-Tag is a long-odds grind for low-point holders. **Nonresidents** face much steeper odds on both tag types: - **Permit 20**: 17% overall draw rate (25 tags / 143 applicants). No clear breakpoint; odds...
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| Year | Weapon | Residency | Applicants | Tags | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | B-Tag 30 | resident | 353 | 50 | 14.2% |
| 2025 | B-Tag 30 | nonresident | 21 | 5 | 23.8% |
| 2025 | Permit 20 | resident | 706 | 250 | 35.4% |
| 2025 | Permit 20 | nonresident | 143 | 25 | 17.5% |
| 2024 | Permit 20 | resident | 825 | 250 | 30.3% |
| 2024 | Permit 20 | nonresident | 159 | 25 | 15.7% |
| 2024 | B-Tag 30 | resident | 405 | 50 | 12.3% |
| 2024 | B-Tag 30 | nonresident | 16 | 5 | 31.3% |
| 2023 | B-Tag 30 | resident | 348 | 50 | 14.4% |
| 2023 | B-Tag 30 | nonresident | 15 | 5 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | Permit 20 | resident | 729 | 250 | 34.3% |
| 2023 | Permit 20 | nonresident | 162 | 25 | 15.4% |
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